Ettan - Norra · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Piteå
Home
1-1
Full time
LF Arena
IF Karlstad
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.22
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.92 - 2.19
Win probability
Home
9%
Draw
13%
Away
77%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
77%
1.22
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
75%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Piteå wins
0
Draws
0
IF Karlstad wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
20%
60%
Attack
40%
46%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
9%
Win probability
77%
Home and away record
Piteå
last 7 at home
2W
2D
3L
1.14
points a game
1.29
scored a game
1.57
conceded a game
IF Karlstad
last 7 away from home
1W
3D
3L
0.86
points a game
1.71
scored a game
1.71
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Piteå | IF Karlstad | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Piteå
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
IF Karlstad
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Piteå face IF Karlstad in Ettan - Norra. Piteå have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game). IF Karlstad have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 8 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 75% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
IF Karlstad's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 77% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for IF Karlstad to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 9% win probability for Piteå, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 77% probability for IF Karlstad. Our top recommended betting pick is IF Karlstad Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at LF Arena as part of the Ettan - Norra.
