League Two · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Spartans
Home
0-2
Full time
Ainslie Park
Kelty Hearts
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.27
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.48 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
74%
Draw
10%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
74%
1.27
Double Chance
Home/Draw
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
92%
1.02
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
83%
1.13
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
92%
Over 2.5
83%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.24
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Spartans wins
0
Draws
0
Kelty Hearts wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
40%
46%
Attack
66%
46%
Defence
13%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
74%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
Spartans
last 8 at home
2W
3D
3L
1.13
points a game
2.50
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Kelty Hearts
last 8 away from home
1W
1D
6L
0.50
points a game
0.75
scored a game
2.38
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Spartans | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Spartans
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Kelty Hearts
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
0%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Spartans face Kelty Hearts in League Two. Spartans have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game). Kelty Hearts have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 13 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 92% and Both Teams to Score at 83%.
With a 74% probability backing Spartans, home advantage and superior chance creation make Spartans to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 74% win probability for Spartans, a 10% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Kelty Hearts. Our top recommended betting pick is Spartans Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.24 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 83% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Ainslie Park as part of the League Two.
