League Two · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Accrington ST
Home
2-0
Full time
The Crown Ground
Cheltenham
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.8 - 1.23
Win probability
Home
46%
Draw
20%
Away
33%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Home/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
77%
1.22
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
75%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
77%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.03
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Accrington ST wins
0
Draws
0
Cheltenham wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
60%
60%
Attack
73%
40%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
46%
Win probability
33%
Home and away record
Accrington ST
last 8 at home
3W
5D
0L
1.75
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Cheltenham
last 5 away from home
2W
2D
1L
1.60
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.20
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Accrington ST | Cheltenham | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 9/10 90% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Accrington ST
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
Cheltenham
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Cheltenham |
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 9 |
Accrington ST |
14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Accrington ST face Cheltenham in League Two. Accrington ST have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 9 (1.2 points per game). Cheltenham have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 8 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 77% and Both Teams to Score at 75%.
With a 46% probability backing Accrington ST, home advantage and superior chance creation make Accrington ST to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 46% win probability for Accrington ST, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 33% probability for Cheltenham. Our top recommended betting pick is Accrington ST Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.03 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 75% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at The Crown Ground as part of the League Two.
