League One · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
AFC Wimbledon
Home
14:00
d ::
Plough Lane
Stevenage
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.2 - 1.73
Win probability
Home
21%
Draw
23%
Away
56%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
56%
1.68
Double Chance
Draw/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.93
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
AFC Wimbledon wins
0
Draws
0
Stevenage wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
66%
33%
Attack
86%
73%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
21%
Win probability
56%
Home and away record
AFC Wimbledon
last 8 at home
3W
4D
1L
1.63
points a game
0.88
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Stevenage
last 7 away from home
3W
3D
1L
1.71
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.71
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| AFC Wimbledon | Stevenage | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
AFC Wimbledon
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Stevenage
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
70%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 |
Stevenage |
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 18 |
AFC Wimbledon |
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -12 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
AFC Wimbledon face Stevenage in League One. AFC Wimbledon have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (2 points per game). Stevenage have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 4 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Stevenage's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 56% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Stevenage to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 21% win probability for AFC Wimbledon, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 56% probability for Stevenage. Our top recommended betting pick is Stevenage Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.93 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Plough Lane as part of the League One.
