Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Castellón II
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Lorca Deportiva
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.85 - 0.74
Win probability
Home
48%
Draw
40%
Away
11%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Draw
88%
1.07
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
89%
1.06
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
86%
1.09
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
11%
Over 2.5
14%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.59
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Castellón II v Lorca Deportiva pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Castellón II wins
0
Draws
0
Lorca Deportiva wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
16%
46%
Attack
8%
73%
Defence
75%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
48%
Win probability
11%
Home and away record
Castellón II
last 3 at home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Lorca Deportiva
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Castellón II | Lorca Deportiva | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 3/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 0% 0/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 33% 2/6 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 50% 3/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 3/4 75% |
At half time
Castellón II
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
50%
Behind
17%
Lorca Deportiva
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Castellón II |
9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +10 | 18 |
| 8 |
Lorca Deportiva |
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Castellón II face Lorca Deportiva in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3. Castellón II have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game). Lorca Deportiva have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 1 and conceding 3 (0.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 11% and Both Teams to Score at 14%.
With a 48% probability backing Castellón II, home advantage and superior chance creation make Castellón II to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 48% win probability for Castellón II, a 40% chance of a draw, and a 11% probability for Lorca Deportiva. Our top recommended betting pick is Castellón II Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.59 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 14%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
