Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Castellón II
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Lorca Deportiva
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.85 - 0.74
Win probability
Home
48%
Draw
40%
Away
11%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Draw
88%
1.07
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
89%
1.06
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
86%
1.09
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
11%
Over 2.5
14%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.59
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Castellón II wins
0
Draws
0
Lorca Deportiva wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
16%
40%
Attack
8%
73%
Defence
75%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
48%
Win probability
11%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cas Castellón II | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +7 | 12 |
| 11 | Lor Lorca Deportiva | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Castellón II face Lorca Deportiva in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3. Castellón II have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (1.4 points per game). Lorca Deportiva have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 1 and conceding 3 (0.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 11% and Both Teams to Score at 14%.
With a 48% probability backing Castellón II, home advantage and superior chance creation make Castellón II to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 48% win probability for Castellón II, a 40% chance of a draw, and a 11% probability for Lorca Deportiva. Our top recommended betting pick is Castellón II Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.59 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 14%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
