National League · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Aldershot Town
Home
1-3
Full time
EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground
Carlisle
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.21 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
63%
Draw
20%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
63%
1.49
Double Chance
Home/Draw
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.31
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
28%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.08
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Aldershot Town wins
0
Draws
0
Carlisle wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
33%
26%
Attack
40%
46%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
63%
Win probability
17%
Home and away record
Aldershot Town
last 8 at home
3W
2D
3L
1.38
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Carlisle
last 7 away from home
3W
2D
2L
1.57
points a game
1.71
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Aldershot Town | Carlisle | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Aldershot Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
40%
Behind
50%
Carlisle
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
20%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
Carlisle |
16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +9 | 26 |
| 14 |
Aldershot Town |
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Aldershot Town face Carlisle in National League. Aldershot Town have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game). Carlisle have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 28% and Both Teams to Score at 36%.
With a 63% probability backing Aldershot Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Aldershot Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 63% win probability for Aldershot Town, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for Carlisle. Our top recommended betting pick is Aldershot Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.08 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 36%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground as part of the National League.
