National League · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Aldershot Town
Home
1-3
Full time
EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground
Carlisle
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.21 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
63%
Draw
20%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
63%
1.49
Double Chance
Home/Draw
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.31
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
28%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.08
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Aldershot Town wins
0
Draws
0
Carlisle wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
33%
26%
Attack
53%
60%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
63%
Win probability
17%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ald Aldershot Town | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 18 |
| 14 | Car Carlisle | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 16 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Aldershot Town face Carlisle in National League. Aldershot Town have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game). Carlisle have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 28% and Both Teams to Score at 36%.
With a 63% probability backing Aldershot Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Aldershot Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 63% win probability for Aldershot Town, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for Carlisle. Our top recommended betting pick is Aldershot Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.08 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 36%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground as part of the National League.
