National League · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Harrogate Town
Home
3-0
Full time
Exercise Stadium
AFC Hornchurch
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.29
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.45 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
73%
Draw
11%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
73%
1.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
92%
1.02
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
84%
1.12
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
92%
Over 2.5
84%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.24
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Harrogate Town wins
0
Draws
0
AFC Hornchurch wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
60%
53%
Attack
40%
53%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
73%
Win probability
13%
Home and away record
Harrogate Town
last 7 at home
4W
2D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.43
scored a game
1.57
conceded a game
AFC Hornchurch
last 7 away from home
3W
0D
4L
1.29
points a game
1.57
scored a game
2.14
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Harrogate Town | AFC Hornchurch | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Harrogate Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
AFC Hornchurch
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
40%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Harrogate Town |
16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | +11 | 32 |
| 15 |
AFC Hornchurch |
16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | -8 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Harrogate Town face AFC Hornchurch in National League. Harrogate Town have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game). AFC Hornchurch have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 92% and Both Teams to Score at 84%.
With a 73% probability backing Harrogate Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Harrogate Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 73% win probability for Harrogate Town, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for AFC Hornchurch. Our top recommended betting pick is Harrogate Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.24 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 84% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Exercise Stadium as part of the National League.
