National League · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Hartlepool
Home
0-1
Full time
Victoria Park
Tamworth
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.07
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.81 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
88%
Draw
8%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
88%
1.07
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
76%
1.24
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
76%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.38
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Hartlepool wins
0
Draws
0
Tamworth wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
40%
20%
Attack
46%
46%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
88%
Win probability
5%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Tam Tamworth | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 14 |
| 22 | Har Hartlepool | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | -9 | 9 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Hartlepool face Tamworth in National League. Hartlepool have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 8 (0.6 points per game). Tamworth have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 10 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 76% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 88% probability backing Hartlepool, home advantage and superior chance creation make Hartlepool to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 88% win probability for Hartlepool, a 8% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for Tamworth. Our top recommended betting pick is Hartlepool Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.38 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Victoria Park as part of the National League.
