Non League Premier - Isthmian · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Burgess Hill Town
Home
4-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Maldon & Tiptree
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.34
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.38 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
70%
Draw
16%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
70%
1.34
Double Chance
Home/Draw
86%
1.09
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.19
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Burgess Hill Town wins
0
Draws
0
Maldon & Tiptree wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
20%
46%
Attack
46%
60%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
70%
Win probability
14%
Home and away record
Burgess Hill Town
last 5 at home
2W
3D
0L
1.80
points a game
1.80
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Maldon & Tiptree
last 5 away from home
1W
0D
4L
0.60
points a game
1.20
scored a game
4.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Burgess Hill Town | Maldon & Tiptree | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Burgess Hill Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Maldon & Tiptree
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
20%
Behind
60%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |
Burgess Hill Town |
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | -2 | 22 |
| 16 |
Maldon & Tiptree |
18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -14 | 20 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Burgess Hill Town face Maldon & Tiptree in Non League Premier - Isthmian. Burgess Hill Town have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game). Maldon & Tiptree have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 17 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 63%.
With a 70% probability backing Burgess Hill Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Burgess Hill Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 70% win probability for Burgess Hill Town, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for Maldon & Tiptree. Our top recommended betting pick is Burgess Hill Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.19 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 63% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
