Non League Premier - Southern South · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Poole Town
Home
3-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Evesham United
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.02 - 1.09
Win probability
Home
55%
Draw
18%
Away
27%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
55%
1.71
Double Chance
Home/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
85%
1.11
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
80%
1.18
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
85%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Poole Town wins
0
Draws
0
Evesham United wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
66%
46%
Attack
46%
60%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
55%
Win probability
27%
Home and away record
Poole Town
last 4 at home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Evesham United
last 5 away from home
3W
0D
2L
1.80
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Poole Town | Evesham United | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Poole Town
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
44%
Behind
22%
Evesham United
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Poole Town |
16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | +11 | 32 |
| 18 |
Evesham United |
17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | -16 | 16 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Poole Town face Evesham United in Non League Premier - Southern South. Poole Town have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game). Evesham United have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 85% and Both Teams to Score at 80%.
With a 55% probability backing Poole Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Poole Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 55% win probability for Poole Town, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 27% probability for Evesham United. Our top recommended betting pick is Poole Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 80% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Non League Premier - Southern South.
