Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Llosetense
Home
3-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Arenal
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.14 - 0.74
Win probability
Home
60%
Draw
30%
Away
11%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
78%
1.21
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
78%
1.21
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
22%
Over 2.5
22%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.88
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Llosetense wins
0
Draws
0
Arenal wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
44%
Recent form
33%
22%
Attack
33%
89%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
60%
Win probability
11%
Home and away record
Llosetense
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Arenal
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Llosetense | Arenal | |
|---|---|---|
| 33% 1/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 0% 0/3 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 67% 2/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/3 0% |
| 67% 2/3 | Failed to score | 1/3 33% |
At half time
Llosetense
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Arenal
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
0%
Behind
67%
Match Preview & Analysis
Llosetense face Arenal in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11. Llosetense have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 2 and conceding 1 (1.33 points per game). Arenal have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 6 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 22% and Both Teams to Score at 22%.
With a 60% probability backing Llosetense, home advantage and superior chance creation make Llosetense to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 60% win probability for Llosetense, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 11% probability for Arenal. Our top recommended betting pick is Llosetense Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.88 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 22%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
