FA Cup · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Chesham United
Home
4-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Real Bedford
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.08
Predicted score
0 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.8 - 2.41
Win probability
Home
4%
Draw
7%
Away
87%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
87%
1.08
Double Chance
Draw/Away
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
84%
1.12
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
84%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.21
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chesham United wins
0
Draws
0
Real Bedford wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
95%
95%
Attack
95%
33%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
5%
Win probability
87%
Home and away record
Chesham United
last 4 at home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
3.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Real Bedford
last 5 away from home
5W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.60
scored a game
0.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Chesham United | Real Bedford | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Chesham United
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Real Bedford
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Chesham United face Real Bedford in FA Cup. Chesham United have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 15 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game). Real Bedford have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 15 and conceding 6 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 84% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Real Bedford's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 87% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Real Bedford to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 0-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 4% win probability for Chesham United, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 87% probability for Real Bedford. Our top recommended betting pick is Real Bedford Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 0 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.21 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FA Cup.
