Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Touring
Home
2-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Durango
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.92 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
51%
Draw
30%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Draw
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
30%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.84
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Touring wins
0
Draws
0
Durango wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
33%
33%
Attack
40%
66%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
51%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Touring
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Durango
last 6 away from home
2W
1D
3L
1.17
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.83
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Touring | Durango | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 3/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 25% 1/4 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Touring
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
Durango
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Touring face Durango in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4. Touring have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1 points per game). Durango have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 30% and Both Teams to Score at 34%.
With a 51% probability backing Touring, home advantage and superior chance creation make Touring to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 51% win probability for Touring, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Durango. Our top recommended betting pick is Touring Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.84 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 34%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 14:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
