Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Platges Calvià
Home
3-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Migjorn
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.03
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.88 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
91%
Draw
3%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
91%
1.03
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
84%
1.12
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
84%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Platges Calvià wins
0
Draws
0
Migjorn wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
5%
55%
Attack
22%
55%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
91%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Platges Calvià
last 1 at home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Migjorn
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Platges Calvià | Migjorn | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 3/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 100% 3/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 67% 2/3 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 33% 1/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/3 0% |
| 0% 0/3 | Failed to score | 1/3 33% |
At half time
Platges Calvià
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
0%
Behind
50%
Migjorn
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Platges Calvià |
10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | +14 | 24 |
| 16 |
Migjorn |
10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -13 | 5 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Platges Calvià face Migjorn in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11. Platges Calvià have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1 points per game). Migjorn have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 3 games, scoring 2 and conceding 9 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 84% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 91% probability backing Platges Calvià, home advantage and superior chance creation make Platges Calvià to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 91% win probability for Platges Calvià, a 3% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Migjorn. Our top recommended betting pick is Platges Calvià Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 14:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
