Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Avance Ezcabarte
Home
4-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Cantolagua
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.02
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.91 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
92%
Draw
3%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
92%
1.02
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
83%
1.13
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
83%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.43
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Avance Ezcabarte wins
0
Draws
0
Cantolagua wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
41%
Recent form
33%
58%
Attack
22%
66%
Defence
11%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
92%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Avance Ezcabarte
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Cantolagua
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
3.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Avance Ezcabarte | Cantolagua | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 4/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 75% 3/4 | Both teams scored | 1/3 33% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/3 0% |
| 0% 0/4 | Failed to score | 2/3 67% |
At half time
Avance Ezcabarte
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
25%
Behind
25%
Cantolagua
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
0%
Behind
67%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Avance Ezcabarte |
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 14 |
| 13 |
Cantolagua |
9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -15 | 9 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Avance Ezcabarte face Cantolagua in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15. Avance Ezcabarte have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4 (1.25 points per game). Cantolagua have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 2 and conceding 8 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 83% and Both Teams to Score at 35%.
With a 92% probability backing Avance Ezcabarte, home advantage and superior chance creation make Avance Ezcabarte to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 92% win probability for Avance Ezcabarte, a 3% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Cantolagua. Our top recommended betting pick is Avance Ezcabarte Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.43 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 35%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 14:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
