Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Atlético Astorga
Home
0-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Amorebieta
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
27%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Atlético Astorga wins
0
Draws
0
Amorebieta wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
33%
46%
Attack
33%
60%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Atlético Astorga
last 6 at home
2W
2D
2L
1.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Amorebieta
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Atlético Astorga | Amorebieta | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 38% 3/8 | Failed to score | 2/4 50% |
At half time
Atlético Astorga
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
50%
Behind
38%
Amorebieta
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Amorebieta |
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 16 |
Atlético Astorga |
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 7 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Atlético Astorga face Amorebieta in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1. Atlético Astorga have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game). Amorebieta have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 27% and Both Teams to Score at 35%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Atlético Astorga, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Amorebieta. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 35%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
