Kansallinen Liiga · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Åland United W
Home
3-1
Full time
Wiklöf Holding Arena
IF Gnistan
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.12
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.72 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
84%
Draw
7%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
84%
1.12
Double Chance
Home/Draw
91%
1.03
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
88%
1.07
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
88%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.33
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Åland United W wins
0
Draws
0
IF Gnistan wins
23 Aug 2026
IF Gnistan
2 - 3
Åland United W
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
20%
60%
Attack
40%
40%
Defence
5%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
84%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Åland United W
last 6 at home
4W
1D
1L
2.17
points a game
2.50
scored a game
0.83
conceded a game
IF Gnistan
last 5 away from home
2W
1D
2L
1.40
points a game
1.20
scored a game
2.20
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Åland United W | IF Gnistan | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Åland United W
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
40%
Behind
10%
IF Gnistan
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Åland United W face IF Gnistan in Kansallinen Liiga. Åland United W have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 9 (1.8 points per game). IF Gnistan have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 15 (0.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Åland United W won 1, IF Gnistan won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 88% and Both Teams to Score at 67%.
With a 84% probability backing Åland United W, home advantage and superior chance creation make Åland United W to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 84% win probability for Åland United W, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for IF Gnistan. Our top recommended betting pick is Åland United W Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.33 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 67% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Wiklöf Holding Arena as part of the Kansallinen Liiga.
