Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Lagun Onak
Home
1-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Aretxabaleta
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 1.71
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.2 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
21%
Draw
55%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
55%
1.71
Double Chance
Draw/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
96%
1.01
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
91%
1.03
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
4%
Over 2.5
9%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.23
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lagun Onak wins
0
Draws
0
Aretxabaleta wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
41%
Recent form
55%
33%
Attack
11%
58%
Defence
95%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
21%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
Lagun Onak
last 3 at home
1W
2D
0L
1.67
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Aretxabaleta
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Lagun Onak | Aretxabaleta | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 3/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 0/3 0% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/3 100% |
| 25% 1/4 | Failed to score | 2/3 67% |
At half time
Lagun Onak
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
75%
Behind
0%
Aretxabaleta
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Lagun Onak face Aretxabaleta in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4. Lagun Onak have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1.25 points per game). Aretxabaleta have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 1 and conceding 0 (1.67 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 4% and Both Teams to Score at 9%.
With evenly matched metrics (21% vs 24%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 21% win probability for Lagun Onak, a 55% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Aretxabaleta. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.23 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 9%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
