Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Villaverde Norte
Home
1-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Mensajero
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.99 - 1.6
Win probability
Home
12%
Draw
38%
Away
50%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Draw/Away
88%
1.07
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
87%
1.08
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
84%
1.12
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
13%
Over 2.5
16%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.59
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Villaverde Norte wins
0
Draws
0
Mensajero wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
16%
Recent form
33%
33%
Attack
22%
33%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
12%
Win probability
50%
Home and away record
Villaverde Norte
last 1 at home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Mensajero
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Villaverde Norte | Mensajero | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 2/2 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 50% 1/2 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 50% 1/2 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 100% 2/2 | Both teams scored | 1/3 33% |
| 0% 0/2 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 0% 0/2 | Failed to score | 1/3 33% |
At half time
Villaverde Norte
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
100%
Level
0%
Behind
0%
Mensajero
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
Mensajero |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 18 |
Villaverde Norte |
9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -19 | 2 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Villaverde Norte face Mensajero in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12. Villaverde Norte have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 2 and conceding 4 (0.5 points per game). Mensajero have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 2 and conceding 3 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 13% and Both Teams to Score at 16%.
Mensajero's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 50% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Mensajero to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 12% win probability for Villaverde Norte, a 38% chance of a draw, and a 50% probability for Mensajero. Our top recommended betting pick is Mensajero Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.59 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 16%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 15:15 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
