Serie C - Girone B · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Grosseto
Home
1-3
Full time
Stadio Carlo Zecchini
Sambenedettese
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.33 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
68%
Draw
15%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
68%
1.38
Double Chance
Home/Draw
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
84%
1.12
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
75%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
84%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.2
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Grosseto wins
0
Draws
0
Sambenedettese wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
13%
46%
Attack
46%
60%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
68%
Win probability
17%
Home and away record
Grosseto
last 7 at home
3W
2D
2L
1.57
points a game
1.86
scored a game
1.57
conceded a game
Sambenedettese
last 6 away from home
1W
3D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Grosseto | Sambenedettese | |
|---|---|---|
| 89% 8/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 67% 6/9 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 11% 1/9 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Grosseto
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
56%
Level
22%
Behind
22%
Sambenedettese
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Grosseto |
13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 23 |
| 17 |
Sambenedettese |
13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -5 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Grosseto face Sambenedettese in Serie C - Girone B. Grosseto have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game). Sambenedettese have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 10 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 84% and Both Teams to Score at 75%.
With a 68% probability backing Grosseto, home advantage and superior chance creation make Grosseto to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 68% win probability for Grosseto, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for Sambenedettese. Our top recommended betting pick is Grosseto Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.2 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 75% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 15:30 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Carlo Zecchini as part of the Serie C - Girone B.
