UEFA Nations League · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Croatia
Home
0-7
Full time
Stadion Rujevica
England
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.13 - 1.56
Win probability
Home
18%
Draw
34%
Away
48%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Draw/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
79%
1.19
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
74%
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
21%
Over 2.5
26%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.69
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Croatia wins
0
Draws
0
England wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
80%
44%
Attack
93%
44%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
18%
Win probability
48%
Home and away record
Croatia
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
England
last 5 away from home
5W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Croatia | England | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 2/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 67% 2/3 | Both teams scored | 4/7 57% |
| 33% 1/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/7 43% |
| 0% 0/3 | Failed to score | 1/7 14% |
At half time
Croatia
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
England
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
71%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Croatia face England in UEFA Nations League. Croatia have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (2 points per game). England have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 9 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 21% and Both Teams to Score at 26%.
England's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 48% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for England to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 18% win probability for Croatia, a 34% chance of a draw, and a 48% probability for England. Our top recommended betting pick is England Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.69 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 26%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Rujevica as part of the UEFA Nations League.
