UEFA Nations League · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Iceland
Home
3-0
Full time
Ice Rink Laugardalur
Bulgaria
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.01
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.96 - 0.5
Win probability
Home
94%
Draw
2%
Away
0%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
94%
1.01
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
79%
1.19
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
85%
1.11
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
79%
Over 2.5
15%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.46
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Iceland wins
0
Draws
0
Bulgaria wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
50%
Recent form
50%
50%
Attack
50%
50%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
94%
Win probability
5%
Match Preview & Analysis
Iceland face Bulgaria in UEFA Nations League. We have no recent results on record for Iceland. We have no recent results on record for Bulgaria.
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 79% and Both Teams to Score at 15%.
With a 94% probability backing Iceland, home advantage and superior chance creation make Iceland to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 94% win probability for Iceland, a 2% chance of a draw, and a 0% probability for Bulgaria. Our top recommended betting pick is Iceland Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.46 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 15%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Ice Rink Laugardalur as part of the UEFA Nations League.
