UEFA Nations League · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Estonia
Home
1-0
Full time
A. Le Coq Arena
Luxembourg
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.14 - 0.68
Win probability
Home
60%
Draw
32%
Away
8%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
Home/Draw
92%
1.02
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
84%
1.12
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
85%
1.11
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
16%
Over 2.5
15%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Estonia wins
0
Draws
0
Luxembourg wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
5%
5%
Attack
5%
95%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
60%
Win probability
8%
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
1 matches.
| Estonia | Luxembourg | |
|---|---|---|
| 0% 0/1 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/1 100% |
| 0% 0/1 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/1 100% |
| 0% 0/1 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/1 0% |
| 0% 0/1 | Both teams scored | 0/1 0% |
| 100% 1/1 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/1 0% |
| 100% 1/1 | Failed to score | 1/1 100% |
At half time
Estonia
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Luxembourg
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
0%
Behind
100%
Match Preview & Analysis
Estonia face Luxembourg in UEFA Nations League. Estonia have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 1 games, scoring 0 and conceding 0 (1 points per game). Luxembourg have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 games, scoring 0 and conceding 3 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 16% and Both Teams to Score at 15%.
With a 60% probability backing Estonia, home advantage and superior chance creation make Estonia to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 60% win probability for Estonia, a 32% chance of a draw, and a 8% probability for Luxembourg. Our top recommended betting pick is Estonia Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 15%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at A. Le Coq Arena as part of the UEFA Nations League.
