UEFA Nations League · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Estonia
Home
1-0
Full time
A. Le Coq Arena
Luxembourg
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.14 - 0.68
Win probability
Home
60%
Draw
32%
Away
8%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
Home/Draw
92%
1.02
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
84%
1.12
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
85%
1.11
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
16%
Over 2.5
15%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Estonia wins
0
Draws
0
Luxembourg wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
50%
Recent form
50%
50%
Attack
50%
50%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
60%
Win probability
8%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Est Estonia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 3 | Lux Luxembourg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Estonia face Luxembourg in UEFA Nations League. We have no recent results on record for Estonia. We have no recent results on record for Luxembourg.
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 16% and Both Teams to Score at 15%.
With a 60% probability backing Estonia, home advantage and superior chance creation make Estonia to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 60% win probability for Estonia, a 32% chance of a draw, and a 8% probability for Luxembourg. Our top recommended betting pick is Estonia Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 15%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at A. Le Coq Arena as part of the UEFA Nations League.
