Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Noblejas
Home
1-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Illescas
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.02 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
55%
Draw
24%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
55%
1.71
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Noblejas wins
0
Draws
0
Illescas wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
77%
Recent form
40%
66%
Attack
26%
55%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
55%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Noblejas
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Illescas
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Noblejas | Illescas | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 3/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/6 17% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/6 17% |
| 100% 3/3 | Both teams scored | 3/6 50% |
| 0% 0/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/6 33% |
| 0% 0/3 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
Noblejas
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
Illescas
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
83%
Behind
17%
Match Preview & Analysis
Noblejas face Illescas in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18. Noblejas have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (2.33 points per game). Illescas have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 55% probability backing Noblejas, home advantage and superior chance creation make Noblejas to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 55% win probability for Noblejas, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Illescas. Our top recommended betting pick is Noblejas Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
