Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Yagüe
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Cenicero
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.92 - 1.01
Win probability
Home
51%
Draw
27%
Away
23%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
26%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.93
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Yagüe wins
0
Draws
0
Cenicero wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
55%
44%
Attack
33%
55%
Defence
77%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
51%
Win probability
23%
Home and away record
Yagüe
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Cenicero
last 1 away from home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Yagüe | Cenicero | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 3/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 67% 2/3 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 33% 1/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 0% 0/3 | Failed to score | 1/3 33% |
At half time
Yagüe
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Cenicero
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Yagüe face Cenicero in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16. Yagüe have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1 points per game). Cenicero have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 2 (1.67 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 26% and Both Teams to Score at 34%.
With a 51% probability backing Yagüe, home advantage and superior chance creation make Yagüe to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 51% win probability for Yagüe, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 23% probability for Cenicero. Our top recommended betting pick is Yagüe Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.93 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 34%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 16:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
