Derde Divisie · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Dongen
Home
4-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Poortugaal
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
21%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Dongen wins
0
Draws
0
Poortugaal wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
40%
66%
Attack
46%
5%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
53%
Win probability
26%
Home and away record
Dongen
last 4 at home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
2.75
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Poortugaal
last 4 away from home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Dongen | Poortugaal | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 7/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 100% 7/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 100% 7/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 86% 6/7 | Both teams scored | 4/7 57% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/7 14% |
| 0% 0/7 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
Dongen
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
29%
Behind
43%
Poortugaal
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
0%
Behind
60%
Match Preview & Analysis
Dongen face Poortugaal in Derde Divisie. Dongen have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 17 (0.6 points per game). Poortugaal have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 67%.
With a 53% probability backing Dongen, home advantage and superior chance creation make Dongen to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for Dongen, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Poortugaal. Our top recommended betting pick is Dongen Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 67% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 17:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Derde Divisie.
