Liga Profesional Argentina · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Defensa Y Justicia
Home
3-0
Full time
Estadio Norberto Tomaghello
San Lorenzo
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
78%
1.21
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
22%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Defensa Y Justicia wins
0
Draws
0
San Lorenzo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
33%
46%
Attack
13%
73%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Defensa Y Justicia
last 5 at home
4W
1D
0L
2.60
points a game
1.60
scored a game
0.60
conceded a game
San Lorenzo
last 5 away from home
0W
2D
3L
0.40
points a game
0.20
scored a game
0.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Defensa Y Justicia | San Lorenzo | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/10 0% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/10 0% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 1/10 10% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 6/10 60% |
At half time
Defensa Y Justicia
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
San Lorenzo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
70%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
Defensa Y Justicia |
32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | +3 | 47 |
| 18 |
San Lorenzo |
32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | -7 | 41 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Defensa Y Justicia face San Lorenzo in Liga Profesional Argentina. Defensa Y Justicia have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4 (2 points per game). San Lorenzo have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 4 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 22% and Both Teams to Score at 30%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Defensa Y Justicia, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for San Lorenzo. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 30%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 17:45 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Norberto Tomaghello as part of the Liga Profesional Argentina.
