Primera Nacional · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Tristan Suarez
Home
0-0
Full time
Estadio 20 de Octubre
Quilmes
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.04 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
56%
Draw
30%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
Home/Draw
86%
1.09
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
76%
1.24
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
74%
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
24%
Over 2.5
26%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.83
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Tristan Suarez wins
0
Draws
0
Quilmes wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
20%
20%
Attack
6%
86%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
56%
Win probability
13%
Home and away record
Tristan Suarez
last 6 at home
5W
1D
0L
2.67
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.17
conceded a game
Quilmes
last 5 away from home
0W
1D
4L
0.20
points a game
0.60
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Tristan Suarez | Quilmes | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 2/10 20% |
| 70% 7/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Tristan Suarez
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
60%
Behind
0%
Quilmes
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
60%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tristan Suarez |
35 | 16 | 15 | 4 | +18 | 63 |
| 13 |
Quilmes |
35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | +2 | 42 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Tristan Suarez face Quilmes in Primera Nacional. Tristan Suarez have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 2 (1.2 points per game). Quilmes have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 6 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 24% and Both Teams to Score at 26%.
With a 56% probability backing Tristan Suarez, home advantage and superior chance creation make Tristan Suarez to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 56% win probability for Tristan Suarez, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for Quilmes. Our top recommended betting pick is Tristan Suarez Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.83 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 26%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio 20 de Octubre as part of the Primera Nacional.
