Primera B Metropolitana · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Liniers
Home
1-0
Full time
Juan Antonio Arias Stadium
Excursionistas
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.83 - 1.14
Win probability
Home
47%
Draw
24%
Away
29%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Liniers wins
0
Draws
0
Excursionistas wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
80%
60%
Attack
60%
60%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
47%
Win probability
29%
Home and away record
Liniers
last 8 at home
1W
4D
3L
0.88
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Excursionistas
last 7 away from home
3W
1D
3L
1.43
points a game
1.14
scored a game
1.43
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Liniers | Excursionistas | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Liniers
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
Excursionistas
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
20%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Excursionistas |
41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | +37 | 81 |
| 18 |
Liniers |
41 | 10 | 15 | 16 | -9 | 45 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Liniers face Excursionistas in Primera B Metropolitana. Liniers have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game). Excursionistas have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 5 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 47% probability backing Liniers, home advantage and superior chance creation make Liniers to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 47% win probability for Liniers, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 29% probability for Excursionistas. Our top recommended betting pick is Liniers Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Juan Antonio Arias Stadium as part of the Primera B Metropolitana.
