Primera B Metropolitana · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
San Martín Burzaco
Home
2-1
Full time
Francisco Boga Stadium
Argentino de Merlo
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
66%
1.42
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the San Martín Burzaco v Argentino de Merlo pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
San Martín Burzaco wins
0
Draws
0
Argentino de Merlo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
26%
46%
Attack
13%
66%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
San Martín Burzaco
last 7 at home
2W
4D
1L
1.43
points a game
1.14
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Argentino de Merlo
last 7 away from home
2W
1D
4L
1.00
points a game
0.71
scored a game
1.29
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| San Martín Burzaco | Argentino de Merlo | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 6/10 60% |
At half time
San Martín Burzaco
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Argentino de Merlo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
50%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
San Martín Burzaco |
41 | 12 | 15 | 14 | -5 | 51 |
| 15 |
Argentino de Merlo |
41 | 12 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 47 |
Match Preview & Analysis
San Martín Burzaco face Argentino de Merlo in Primera B Metropolitana. San Martín Burzaco have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (2 points per game). Argentino de Merlo have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 6 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for San Martín Burzaco, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Argentino de Merlo. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Francisco Boga Stadium as part of the Primera B Metropolitana.
