Primera C · Monday, 05 Oct 2026
Deportivo Paraguayo
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Mercedes
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.25 - 1.51
Win probability
Home
23%
Draw
30%
Away
46%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Draw/Away
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
31%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.76
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Deportivo Paraguayo wins
0
Draws
0
Mercedes wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
46%
60%
Attack
33%
53%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
23%
Win probability
46%
Home and away record
Deportivo Paraguayo
last 7 at home
3W
1D
3L
1.43
points a game
1.14
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Mercedes
last 6 away from home
3W
0D
3L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Deportivo Paraguayo | Mercedes | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 60% 6/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Deportivo Paraguayo
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
56%
Behind
22%
Mercedes
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Mercedes |
31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | +6 | 44 |
| 12 |
Deportivo Paraguayo |
31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | -16 | 32 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Deportivo Paraguayo face Mercedes in Primera C. Deportivo Paraguayo have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (2 points per game). Mercedes have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 31% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
Mercedes's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 46% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Mercedes to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 23% win probability for Deportivo Paraguayo, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 46% probability for Mercedes. Our top recommended betting pick is Mercedes Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.76 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 05 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Primera C.
