Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Serie C - Girone A · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Folgore Caratese
Home
1-2
Full time
AlbinoLeffe
Desenzano Calvina
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.09
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
32%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
45%
2.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
26%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.76
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Folgore Caratese wins
0
Draws
0
Desenzano Calvina wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
46%
33%
Attack
26%
53%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
22%
Home and away record
Folgore Caratese
last 3 at home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Desenzano Calvina
last 6 away from home
2W
3D
1L
1.50
points a game
0.67
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Folgore Caratese | Desenzano Calvina | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 6/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 22% 2/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/8 13% |
| 67% 6/9 | Both teams scored | 3/8 38% |
| 22% 2/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/8 50% |
| 33% 3/9 | Failed to score | 4/8 50% |
At half time
Folgore Caratese
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
44%
Behind
33%
Desenzano Calvina
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
75%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |
Desenzano Calvina |
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 20 |
Folgore Caratese |
13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -10 | 8 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Folgore Caratese face Desenzano Calvina in Serie C - Girone A. Folgore Caratese have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (0.6 points per game). Desenzano Calvina have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 26% and Both Teams to Score at 33%.
With a 45% probability backing Folgore Caratese, home advantage and superior chance creation make Folgore Caratese to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Folgore Caratese, a 32% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Desenzano Calvina. Our top recommended betting pick is Folgore Caratese Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.76 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 33%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at AlbinoLeffe as part of the Serie C - Girone A.
