Serie C - Girone A · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Folgore Caratese
Home
1-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Desenzano Calvina
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.09
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
32%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
45%
2.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
26%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.76
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Folgore Caratese wins
0
Draws
0
Desenzano Calvina wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
46%
26%
Attack
26%
53%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
22%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Des Desenzano Calvina | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 16 | Fol Folgore Caratese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Folgore Caratese face Desenzano Calvina in Serie C - Girone A. Folgore Caratese have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 7 (0.4 points per game). Desenzano Calvina have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 26% and Both Teams to Score at 33%.
With a 45% probability backing Folgore Caratese, home advantage and superior chance creation make Folgore Caratese to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Folgore Caratese, a 32% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Desenzano Calvina. Our top recommended betting pick is Folgore Caratese Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.76 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 33%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie C - Girone A.
