UEFA Nations League · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Switzerland
Home
2-1
Full time
Swissporarena
Slovenia
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.54
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.16 - 0.85
Win probability
Home
61%
Draw
24%
Away
16%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
61%
1.54
Double Chance
Home/Draw
85%
1.11
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.01
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Switzerland wins
0
Draws
0
Slovenia wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
95%
66%
Attack
66%
66%
Defence
95%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
61%
Win probability
16%
Home and away record
Switzerland
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Slovenia
last 0 away from home
No away from home games on record yet.
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Switzerland | Slovenia | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/1 100% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/1 0% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/1 0% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 0/1 0% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/1 100% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 0/1 0% |
At half time
Switzerland
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Slovenia
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Switzerland face Slovenia in UEFA Nations League. Switzerland have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 5 (2 points per game). Slovenia have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 1 games, scoring 2 and conceding 0 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 61% probability backing Switzerland, home advantage and superior chance creation make Switzerland to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 61% win probability for Switzerland, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 16% probability for Slovenia. Our top recommended betting pick is Switzerland Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.01 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Swissporarena as part of the UEFA Nations League.
