National 1 · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
La Roche VF
Home
3-1
Full time
Stade Henri-Desgranges
Aubagne
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.06
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.84 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
89%
Draw
8%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
89%
1.06
Double Chance
Home/Draw
97%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
66%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.38
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
La Roche VF wins
0
Draws
0
Aubagne wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
26%
40%
Attack
20%
73%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
89%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
La Roche VF
last 4 at home
2W
2D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Aubagne
last 4 away from home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| La Roche VF | Aubagne | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 6/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/8 13% |
| 67% 6/9 | Both teams scored | 2/8 25% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 11% 1/9 | Failed to score | 5/8 63% |
At half time
La Roche VF
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
56%
Behind
11%
Aubagne
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
38%
Behind
38%
Match Preview & Analysis
La Roche VF face Aubagne in National 1. La Roche VF have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game). Aubagne have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 4 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 66% and Both Teams to Score at 30%.
With a 89% probability backing La Roche VF, home advantage and superior chance creation make La Roche VF to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 89% win probability for La Roche VF, a 8% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Aubagne. Our top recommended betting pick is La Roche VF Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.38 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 30%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Stade Henri-Desgranges as part of the National 1.
