National 1 · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Le Puy Foot
Home
1-0
Full time
Stade Charles Massot
Thionville Lusitanos
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.56 - 1.51
Win probability
Home
36%
Draw
18%
Away
46%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Home/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
87%
1.08
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
84%
1.12
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
87%
Over 2.5
84%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Le Puy Foot wins
0
Draws
0
Thionville Lusitanos wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
40%
46%
Attack
40%
60%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
36%
Win probability
46%
Home and away record
Le Puy Foot
last 4 at home
2W
2D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.75
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Thionville Lusitanos
last 5 away from home
3W
2D
0L
2.20
points a game
2.60
scored a game
0.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Le Puy Foot | Thionville Lusitanos | |
|---|---|---|
| 78% 7/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/9 100% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 22% 2/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 56% 5/9 | Both teams scored | 5/9 56% |
| 22% 2/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/9 33% |
| 22% 2/9 | Failed to score | 1/9 11% |
At half time
Le Puy Foot
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
25%
Behind
38%
Thionville Lusitanos
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
22%
Behind
44%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Le Puy Foot |
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 16 |
| 11 |
Thionville Lusitanos |
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Le Puy Foot face Thionville Lusitanos in National 1. Le Puy Foot have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game). Thionville Lusitanos have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 87% and Both Teams to Score at 84%.
Thionville Lusitanos's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 46% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Thionville Lusitanos to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 36% win probability for Le Puy Foot, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 46% probability for Thionville Lusitanos. Our top recommended betting pick is Thionville Lusitanos Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 84% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Stade Charles Massot as part of the National 1.
