Serie B · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Cuiaba
Home
2-0
Full time
Arena Pantanal
Ponte Preta
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.15
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.67 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
82%
Draw
13%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
82%
1.15
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.28
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Cuiaba wins
0
Draws
0
Ponte Preta wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
20%
60%
Attack
6%
73%
Defence
20%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
82%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Cuiaba
last 8 at home
4W
3D
1L
1.88
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.63
conceded a game
Ponte Preta
last 8 away from home
0W
0D
8L
0.00
points a game
0.25
scored a game
3.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Cuiaba | Ponte Preta | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 1/10 10% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 8/10 80% |
At half time
Cuiaba
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Ponte Preta
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
20%
Behind
60%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |
Cuiaba |
37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 47 |
| 20 |
Ponte Preta |
37 | 3 | 6 | 28 | -58 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Cuiaba face Ponte Preta in Serie B. Cuiaba have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 4 (2 points per game). Ponte Preta have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 12 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 36%.
With a 82% probability backing Cuiaba, home advantage and superior chance creation make Cuiaba to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 82% win probability for Cuiaba, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for Ponte Preta. Our top recommended betting pick is Cuiaba Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.28 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 36%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 20:00 (East Africa Time) at Arena Pantanal as part of the Serie B.
