Liga Pro Serie B · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
LDU Portoviejo
Home
3-2
Full time
Estadio Reales Tamarindos
El Nacional
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.54
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.16 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
61%
Draw
24%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
61%
1.54
Double Chance
Home/Draw
85%
1.11
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
LDU Portoviejo wins
0
Draws
0
El Nacional wins
05 Sep 2026
El Nacional
0 - 2
LDU Portoviejo
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
26%
33%
Attack
26%
73%
Defence
53%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
61%
Win probability
14%
Home and away record
LDU Portoviejo
last 8 at home
3W
2D
3L
1.38
points a game
0.75
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
El Nacional
last 6 away from home
1W
1D
4L
0.67
points a game
0.83
scored a game
1.83
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| LDU Portoviejo | El Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| 40% 4/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 10% 1/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 70% 7/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 60% 6/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
LDU Portoviejo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
60%
Behind
0%
El Nacional
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
LDU Portoviejo |
22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | -5 | 27 |
| 12 |
El Nacional |
22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | -17 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
LDU Portoviejo face El Nacional in Liga Pro Serie B. LDU Portoviejo have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game). El Nacional have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, LDU Portoviejo won 1, El Nacional won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 61% probability backing LDU Portoviejo, home advantage and superior chance creation make LDU Portoviejo to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 61% win probability for LDU Portoviejo, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for El Nacional. Our top recommended betting pick is LDU Portoviejo Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 20:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Reales Tamarindos as part of the Liga Pro Serie B.
