Carioca - 2 · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Macaé
Home
4-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Carapebus
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.47
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.24 - 0.72
Win probability
Home
64%
Draw
26%
Away
10%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
64%
1.47
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
73%
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
30%
Over 2.5
27%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Macaé wins
0
Draws
0
Carapebus wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
25%
Recent form
11%
33%
Attack
11%
58%
Defence
44%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
64%
Win probability
10%
Home and away record
Macaé
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Carapebus
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Macaé | Carapebus | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 3/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 1/3 33% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 25% 1/4 | Failed to score | 2/3 67% |
At half time
Macaé
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
25%
Behind
25%
Carapebus
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
33%
Behind
67%
Match Preview & Analysis
Macaé face Carapebus in Carioca - 2. Macaé have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (0.75 points per game). Carapebus have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 1 and conceding 5 (0.33 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 30% and Both Teams to Score at 27%.
With a 64% probability backing Macaé, home advantage and superior chance creation make Macaé to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 64% win probability for Macaé, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 10% probability for Carapebus. Our top recommended betting pick is Macaé Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 27%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 21:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Carioca - 2.
