Serie C · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Paysandu
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Ferroviária
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
66%
1.42
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Paysandu wins
0
Draws
2
Ferroviária wins
13 Sep 2026
Ferroviária
1 - 0
Paysandu
18 Aug 2026
Ferroviária
4 - 0
Paysandu
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
66%
20%
Attack
53%
60%
Defence
60%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Paysandu
last 8 at home
3W
2D
3L
1.38
points a game
1.13
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Ferroviária
last 5 away from home
1W
2D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.60
scored a game
1.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Paysandu | Ferroviária | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 5/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Paysandu
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
Ferroviária
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
70%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Paysandu face Ferroviária in Serie C. Paysandu have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 6 (0.4 points per game). Ferroviária have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (2 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Paysandu won 0, Ferroviária won 2 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Paysandu, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Ferroviária. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie C.
