USL Championship · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Lexington
Home
3-1
Full time
Toyota Stadium
El Paso Locomotive
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.88 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
49%
Draw
21%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
71%
1.32
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lexington wins
0
Draws
0
El Paso Locomotive wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
95%
86%
Attack
60%
86%
Defence
93%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
49%
Win probability
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El El Paso Locomotive | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | +13 | 47 |
| 5 | Lex Lexington | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | +14 | 40 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Lexington face El Paso Locomotive in USL Championship. Lexington have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 2 (2.4 points per game). El Paso Locomotive have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 1 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 71%.
With a 49% probability backing Lexington, home advantage and superior chance creation make Lexington to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 49% win probability for Lexington, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for El Paso Locomotive. Our top recommended betting pick is Lexington Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 71% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 23:00 (East Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium as part of the USL Championship.
