Liga Premier Serie A · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Dragones de Oaxaca
Home
3-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Real Refineros
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.08
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.79 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
87%
Draw
7%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
87%
1.08
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
84%
1.12
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
84%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.38
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Dragones de Oaxaca wins
0
Draws
0
Real Refineros wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
77%
Recent form
33%
66%
Attack
33%
77%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
87%
Win probability
5%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dra Dragones de Oaxaca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 15 |
| 8 | Rea Real Refineros | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Dragones de Oaxaca face Real Refineros in Liga Premier Serie A. Dragones de Oaxaca have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 6 and conceding 2 (2.33 points per game). Real Refineros have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 2 games, scoring 2 and conceding 2 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 84% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 87% probability backing Dragones de Oaxaca, home advantage and superior chance creation make Dragones de Oaxaca to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 87% win probability for Dragones de Oaxaca, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Real Refineros. Our top recommended betting pick is Dragones de Oaxaca Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.38 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 00:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga Premier Serie A.
