Liga de Ascenso · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Municipal Grecia
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Santa Cruz FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.24
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.52 - 0.72
Win probability
Home
76%
Draw
14%
Away
10%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
76%
1.24
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
75%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.24
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Municipal Grecia wins
0
Draws
0
Santa Cruz FC wins
16 Aug 2026
Santa Cruz FC
1 - 2
Municipal Grecia
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
20%
40%
Attack
46%
66%
Defence
33%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
76%
Win probability
10%
Home and away record
Municipal Grecia
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Santa Cruz FC
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
4.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Municipal Grecia | Santa Cruz FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/7 100% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 4/7 57% |
| 50% 3/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/7 14% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
Municipal Grecia
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
33%
Behind
0%
Santa Cruz FC
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
20%
Behind
80%
Match Preview & Analysis
Municipal Grecia face Santa Cruz FC in Liga de Ascenso. Municipal Grecia have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game). Santa Cruz FC have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 10 (0.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Municipal Grecia won 1, Santa Cruz FC won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 75% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 76% probability backing Municipal Grecia, home advantage and superior chance creation make Municipal Grecia to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 76% win probability for Municipal Grecia, a 14% chance of a draw, and a 10% probability for Santa Cruz FC. Our top recommended betting pick is Municipal Grecia Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.24 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 01:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga de Ascenso.
