USL Championship · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Orange County SC
Home
1-2
Full time
Championship Soccer Stadium
Monterey Bay
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.47
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.24 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
64%
Draw
20%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
64%
1.47
Double Chance
Home/Draw
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Orange County SC wins
0
Draws
0
Monterey Bay wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
6%
Recent form
13%
26%
Attack
33%
5%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
64%
Win probability
17%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ora Orange County SC | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | -5 | 39 |
| 12 | Mon Monterey Bay | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -19 | 18 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Orange County SC face Monterey Bay in USL Championship. Orange County SC have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 17 (0.2 points per game). Monterey Bay have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 11 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 64% probability backing Orange County SC, home advantage and superior chance creation make Orange County SC to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 64% win probability for Orange County SC, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for Monterey Bay. Our top recommended betting pick is Orange County SC Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 02:00 (East Africa Time) at Championship Soccer Stadium as part of the USL Championship.
