Second League - Group 4 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Ural II
Home
1-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Nosta
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.76 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
44%
Draw
26%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Home/Draw
70%
1.34
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.92
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Ural II wins
0
Draws
1
Nosta wins
06 Sep 2026
Nosta
0 - 1
Ural II
16 Aug 2026
Ural II
1 - 2
Nosta
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
46%
46%
Attack
40%
53%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
44%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Ural II
last 6 at home
0W
3D
3L
0.50
points a game
1.17
scored a game
1.83
conceded a game
Nosta
last 7 away from home
3W
0D
4L
1.29
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.43
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Ural II | Nosta | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 90% 9/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Ural II
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
Nosta
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Ural II face Nosta in Second League - Group 4. Ural II have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game). Nosta have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Ural II won 1, Nosta won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 44% probability backing Ural II, home advantage and superior chance creation make Ural II to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 44% win probability for Ural II, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Nosta. Our top recommended betting pick is Ural II Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.92 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 08:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Second League - Group 4.
