Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Manchego
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Almansa
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.09 - 0.85
Win probability
Home
58%
Draw
26%
Away
16%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
58%
1.62
Double Chance
Home/Draw
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
35%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.94
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Manchego wins
0
Draws
0
Almansa wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
44%
44%
Attack
55%
95%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
58%
Win probability
16%
Home and away record
Manchego
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Almansa
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Manchego | Almansa | |
|---|---|---|
| 33% 1/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 0% 0/3 | Both teams scored | 1/3 33% |
| 100% 3/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/3 67% |
| 0% 0/3 | Failed to score | 1/3 33% |
At half time
Manchego
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
100%
Level
0%
Behind
0%
Almansa
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Manchego face Almansa in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18. Manchego have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 0 (3 points per game). Almansa have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3 (1.33 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 35% and Both Teams to Score at 36%.
With a 58% probability backing Manchego, home advantage and superior chance creation make Manchego to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 58% win probability for Manchego, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 16% probability for Almansa. Our top recommended betting pick is Manchego Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.94 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 36%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 09:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
