Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Castellonense
Home
3-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Real Murcia II
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.01
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.93 - 0.5
Win probability
Home
93%
Draw
2%
Away
0%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
93%
1.01
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
81%
1.16
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
78%
1.21
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
81%
Over 2.5
22%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.43
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Castellonense wins
0
Draws
0
Real Murcia II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
5%
55%
Attack
22%
77%
Defence
11%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
93%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Castellonense
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Real Murcia II
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
5.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Castellonense | Real Murcia II | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 2/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 67% 2/3 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 33% 1/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/3 0% |
| 0% 0/3 | Failed to score | 1/3 33% |
At half time
Castellonense
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
Real Murcia II
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
33%
Behind
67%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Castellonense |
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 16 |
| 15 |
Real Murcia II |
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Castellonense face Real Murcia II in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3. Castellonense have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 5 and conceding 2 (3 points per game). Real Murcia II have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 3 games, scoring 2 and conceding 8 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 81% and Both Teams to Score at 22%.
With a 93% probability backing Castellonense, home advantage and superior chance creation make Castellonense to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 93% win probability for Castellonense, a 2% chance of a draw, and a 0% probability for Real Murcia II. Our top recommended betting pick is Castellonense Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.43 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 22%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 09:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
